Nomme JK Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nomme JK Kalju v Parnu JK Vaprus — Team-Based Signals
Nomme JK Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 Parnu JK Vaprus — Actual Match Statistics
Parnu JK Vaprus nicked a narrow win over Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
This one beat our numbers. Nomme JK Kalju carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 61% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 39%, shots finished 16-19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 1.00 for Parnu JK Vaprus.
What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus?
Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 57%, draw 21%, Parnu JK Vaprus 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Under 2.5 went the other way.