Parnu JK Vaprus 2-2 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.34
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
50%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+9.1pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.4pp
50%
Away Win
64%
-13.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 69%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +6%
0.99/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/0.76
-3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
09.11.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 HT 2-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
15.09.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-4 HT 0-3 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
03.07.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-2 HT 2-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
30.03.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-2 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
07.10.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-1 HT 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
2-2
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Parnu JK Vaprus vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parnu JK Vaprus and Nomme JK Kalju couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Nomme JK Kalju at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 40% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 60%, shots finished 11-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 2.67 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Parnu JK Vaprus 2-2 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 25%, draw 25%, Nomme JK Kalju 50%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5
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