FC Levadia 2-1 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.8pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.4pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 17%
+9% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
1.75/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.06
-13% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -16%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
347 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Trans Narva
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-0 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva ESTK
05.04.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
05.10.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
02.10.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
14.09.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
29.06.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-2 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
2-1
AWAY Trans Narva
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia nicked a narrow win over Trans Narva 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Levadia had 58% of the ball to Trans Narva's 42%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Levadia and 0.17 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs Trans Narva?

FC Levadia 2-1 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 53%, draw 25%, Trans Narva 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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