Parnu JK Vaprus vs Nomme JK Kalju Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Parnu JK Vaprus v Nomme JK Kalju — Team-Based Signals
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Nomme JK Kalju Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Parnu JK Vaprus 3-1 Nomme JK Kalju — Actual Match Statistics
Parnu JK Vaprus saw off Nomme JK Kalju 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nomme JK Kalju at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 38% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 62%, shots finished 9-16.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 1.67 for Nomme JK Kalju.
What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs Nomme JK Kalju?
Parnu JK Vaprus 3-1 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs Nomme JK Kalju?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 19%, draw 21%, Nomme JK Kalju 60%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), BTTS No went the other way.