Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 Parnu JK Vaprus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.32
Draw
15%
4.95
Away
11%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
72%
+2.7pp
15%
Draw
17%
-2.0pp
10%
Away Win
11%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +20%
2.71/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.99
+12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
10.08.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 HT 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
27.06.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-2 HT 1-2 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
01.03.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
09.11.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 HT 2-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
15.09.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-4 HT 0-3 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
1-2
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
68% Ball Possession 32%
22 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parnu JK Vaprus squeezed past Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Nomme JK Kalju carried 74% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 68% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 32%, shots finished 22-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 0.83 for Parnu JK Vaprus.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 74%, draw 15%, Parnu JK Vaprus 10%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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