Paide Linnameeskond 1-2 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.75/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/2.02
+10% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
21.06.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
15.06.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-2 HT 1-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
18.04.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
30.10.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
20.10.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
1-2
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn nicked a narrow win over Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; FC Flora Tallinn found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 32% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 68%, shots finished 8-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 0.83 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Paide Linnameeskond 1-2 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 39%, draw 26%, FC Flora Tallinn 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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