Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.1pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -1%
1.41/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.35
-11% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
4W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.06.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
15.06.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-2 HT 1-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
18.04.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
30.10.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
20.10.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
01.06.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-0 HT 2-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
1-1
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 11
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond and FC Flora Tallinn shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FC Flora Tallinn at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 40% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 60%, shots finished 9-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 1.00 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 35%, draw 23%, FC Flora Tallinn 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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