Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.6pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.61/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.34
+0% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
4W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-2 HT 1-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
18.04.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
30.10.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
20.10.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
01.06.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-0 HT 2-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
17.04.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-3 HT 1-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
2-1
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond nicked a narrow win over FC Flora Tallinn 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 40% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 60%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 1.00 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 43%, draw 23%, FC Flora Tallinn 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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