FC Flora Tallinn 1-2 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-8.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.4pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.68/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.05
+2% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +55%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
300 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
30.10.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
20.10.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
01.06.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-0 HT 2-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
17.04.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-3 HT 1-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
16.03.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
1-2
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond squeezed past FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was FC Flora Tallinn at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 47% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 53%, shots finished 7-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 1.50 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Paide Linnameeskond?

FC Flora Tallinn 1-2 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 42%, draw 27%, Paide Linnameeskond 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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