Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.77/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.09
+75% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +49%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Trans Narva
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
20.10.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-2 HT 1-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
13.07.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-2 HT 2-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
02.06.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 4-1 HT 2-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
09.03.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
21.10.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-1 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
2-0
AWAY Trans Narva
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 11
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju beat Trans Narva 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 50% of the ball to Trans Narva's 50%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 1.83 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Trans Narva?

Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 46%, draw 26%, Trans Narva 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✗ BTTS Yes
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