Trans Narva 1-2 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.7
No
40%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
55%
+4.9pp
40%
BTTS No
45%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.51/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.34
+10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-2 HT 1-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
13.07.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-2 HT 2-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
02.06.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 4-1 HT 2-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
09.03.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
21.10.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-1 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
05.08.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-0 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
1-2
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju squeezed past Trans Narva 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Nomme JK Kalju made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Trans Narva had 49% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 51%, shots finished 8-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Trans Narva and 2.17 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Trans Narva 1-2 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 31%, draw 31%, Nomme JK Kalju 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ BTTS Yes
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