FC Levadia 3-1 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
56%
-12.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.2pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 24%
+13% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.50/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.08
-19% / +122% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.05.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-3 HT 0-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia ESTK
04.05.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
30.03.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 2-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
22.02.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-2 HT 2-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju ESTSK
27.10.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 0-4 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
25.08.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-0 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
3-1
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia beat Nomme JK Kalju 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Levadia had 54% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 46%, shots finished 16-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FC Levadia and 1.33 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs Nomme JK Kalju?

FC Levadia 3-1 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 43%, draw 27%, Nomme JK Kalju 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EST1 More Estonia - Premium League
21 Jun 2025
19:00 Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Flora Tallinn Analysis →