Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
45%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+8.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
45%
Away Win
58%
-12.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.8pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 62%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.19/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/0.49
+13% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +84%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
0W-1D-5L
AWAY FC Levadia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 2-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
22.02.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-2 HT 2-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju ESTSK
27.10.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 0-4 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
25.08.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-0 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
12.05.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
06.04.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-5 HT 1-3 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
2-0
AWAY FC Levadia
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju saw off FC Levadia 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Levadia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 40% of the ball to FC Levadia's 60%, shots finished 9-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 2.83 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Levadia?

Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 27%, draw 27%, FC Levadia 45%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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