Parnu JK Vaprus 1-3 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
5.91
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
70%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
26%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
14%
-1.6pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.4pp
70%
Away Win
67%
+3.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 72%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.07/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.48/0.66
+3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +19%
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
207 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 90%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Levadia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
31% Ball Possession 69%
4 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.08.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-3 HT 0-3 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
28.05.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-2 HT 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
15.03.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
22.09.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-1 HT 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
10.08.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-4 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
19.05.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
1-3
AWAY FC Levadia
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia beat Parnu JK Vaprus 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 44% of the ball to FC Levadia's 56%, shots finished 9-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 2.33 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Levadia?

Parnu JK Vaprus 1-3 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 12%, draw 18%, FC Levadia 70%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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