FC Levadia 1-3 Parnu JK Vaprus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.3
Draw
14%
4.95
Away
9%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
72%
+4.5pp
14%
Draw
17%
-2.7pp
9%
Away Win
11%
-1.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +22%
2.44/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.98
+1% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
427 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.05.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-2 HT 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
15.03.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
22.09.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-1 HT 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
10.08.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-4 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
19.05.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
20.04.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-1 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
1-3
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
71% Ball Possession 29%
33 Total Shots 7
13 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs Parnu JK Vaprus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parnu JK Vaprus got the better of FC Levadia 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FC Levadia at 77% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, FC Levadia had 71% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 29%, shots finished 33-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FC Levadia and 1.00 for Parnu JK Vaprus.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

FC Levadia 1-3 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 77%, draw 14%, Parnu JK Vaprus 9%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Levadia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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