FC Kuressaare 1-2 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
7.18
Draw
15%
4.81
Away
72%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
24%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
40%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
11%
+2.0pp
15%
Draw
18%
-3.3pp
72%
Away Win
71%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 75%
+10% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
0.97/2.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/0.72
+38% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +4%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
0W-1D-5L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.05.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-3 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
29.03.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 5-0 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
26.10.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
14.09.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 3-4 HT 1-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
21.05.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
27.04.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 2-2 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
1-2
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn nicked a narrow win over FC Kuressaare 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 35% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 65%, shots finished 7-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Kuressaare and 3.00 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs FC Flora Tallinn?

FC Kuressaare 1-2 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 13%, draw 15%, FC Flora Tallinn 72%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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