FC Lahti 1-2 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 16 Aug 2026

📅16/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.9
Over
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.28
2-3
38%
1.77
4-5
23%
3.43
6+
8%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.28 — our 31% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.87
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
18%
5.82
X/2
11%
5.63
X/X
16%
4.7
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
12%
3.67
2/X
6%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Lahti The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio The Market 40%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
1.68/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.00
+28% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +41%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
17.3 Crosses 17.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Lahti
0W-0D-6L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.89 xG 1.59
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
330 Passes 382
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.05.2026 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-1 HT 2-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
21.07.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
27.04.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 0-1 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
16.03.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 0-2 HT 0-2 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
01.07.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 3-4 HT 1-2 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
20.05.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Lahti
1-2
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.71 xG 0.80
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
371 Passes 430
17 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Lahti vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio nicked a narrow win over FC Lahti 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; KuPS Kuopio found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.71 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Lahti and 2.00 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of FC Lahti vs KuPS Kuopio?

FC Lahti 1-2 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Lahti vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Lahti 39%, draw 29%, KuPS Kuopio 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Lahti), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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