Lens 1-0 PSG — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — France - Super Cup, 16 Aug 2026

Lens Elo 1802 · World #55 (clubs) LWWDW→
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
PSG Elo 1917 · World #10 (clubs) LDLDW→
📅16/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
France - Super Cup – 2026/2027

Lens vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 06:14
Match Result
Home
20%
4.12
Draw
22%
3.74
Away
58%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.17
OverVIEW
61%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.59
No
42%
2.21
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.52
2-3
43%
1.89
4-5
29%
2.79
6+
10%
7.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.09
1/2
4%
20.7
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
7%
9.86
X/2
18%
4.55
X/X
12%
5.84
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
36%
2.15
2/X
5%
13.2
PICK this match carries Gold / Silver / Bronze pattern picks — free account to see which outcomes.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Lens v PSG — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Lens The Market 24%
Signal
AWAY PSG The Market 59%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.09 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.98
1.94 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.03
– Attack Strength –
– Defense Strength –
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
319 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27
– Crosses 22
– Yellow Cards 1

Lens vs PSG Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lens
0W-1D-5L
AWAY PSG
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.48 xG 1.63
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
278 Passes 645
80% Pass Accuracy 91%
26 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.05.2026 Lens Lens 0-2 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1
14.09.2025 PSG PSG 2-0 HT 1-0 Lens Lens FR1
18.01.2025 Lens Lens 1-2 HT 1-0 PSG PSG FR1
22.12.2024 Lens Lens 1-1 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FRK
02.11.2024 PSG PSG 1-0 HT 1-0 Lens Lens FR1
14.01.2024 Lens Lens 0-2 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1

Lens 1-0 PSG — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lens
1 - 0
AWAY PSG
0.89 xG 1.47
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
248 Passes 659
78% Pass Accuracy 91%
15 Box Touches 46
11 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Lens vs PSG
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lens squeezed past PSG 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had PSG at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Lens had 31% of the ball to PSG's 69%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 0.89 to 1.47 — by the quality of chances, PSG deserved more.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lens and 1.67 for PSG.

Lens vs PSG Result & Final Score

Lens 1 - 0 PSG in the France - Super Cup on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lens vs PSG Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Lens 20%, draw 22%, PSG 58%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PSG) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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