Lens vs PSG Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — France - Super Cup, 16 Aug 2026

Lens
vs
PSG
📅16/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
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France - Super Cup – None

Lens vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Lens v PSG — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Lens vs PSG Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lens
0W-1D-5L
AWAY PSG
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.48 xG 1.63
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
278 Passes 645
80% Pass Accuracy 91%
26 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.05.2026 Lens Lens 0-2 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1
14.09.2025 PSG PSG 2-0 HT 1-0 Lens Lens FR1
18.01.2025 Lens Lens 1-2 HT 1-0 PSG PSG FR1
22.12.2024 Lens Lens 1-1 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FRK
02.11.2024 PSG PSG 1-0 HT 1-0 Lens Lens FR1
14.01.2024 Lens Lens 0-2 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1
COMMENT Lens vs PSG
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG lead the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lens and 1.67 for PSG.

When do Lens and PSG play?

Lens play PSG in the France - Super Cup on 16/08/2026, kick-off 21:45 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Lens vs PSG?

Our model's prediction for Lens vs PSG is an PSG win at about 48% probability, priced 1.79 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Lens 26%, draw 26%, PSG 48%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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