Lens 1-1 PSG — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 22 Dec 2024

Lens
1-1 HT 0-0
PSG
📅22/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
France - Cup – 2024/2025

Lens vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
49%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
2.93
6+ Goals
14%
8.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.27
1/2
6%
21.55
1/X
5%
15.6
X/1
9%
9.98
X/2
16%
4.07
X/X
14%
5.86
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.12
2/X
8%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+2.2pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.6pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-6.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.0pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lens v PSG — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lens EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG EU Bookmakers 60%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.08/2.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.48/0.89
+63% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +13%
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
249 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.0
– Crosses 16.2
– Yellow Cards 1.5

Lens vs PSG Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lens
1W-1D-4L
AWAY PSG
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.30 xG 1.85
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
305 Passes 635
82% Pass Accuracy 91%
20 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.11.2024 PSG PSG 1-0 HT 1-0 Lens Lens FR1
14.01.2024 Lens Lens 0-2 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1
26.08.2023 PSG PSG 3-1 HT 1-0 Lens Lens FR1
15.04.2023 PSG PSG 3-1 HT 3-0 Lens Lens FR1
01.01.2023 Lens Lens 3-1 HT 2-1 PSG PSG FR1
23.04.2022 PSG PSG 1-1 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR1

Lens 1-1 PSG — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lens
1-1
AWAY PSG
0.87 xG 1.55
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
256 Passes 625
78% Pass Accuracy 92%
18 Box Touches 36
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lens vs PSG
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lens and PSG shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was PSG at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Lens had 33% of the ball to PSG's 67%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.87 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lens and 1.83 for PSG.

What was the final score of Lens vs PSG?

Lens 1-1 PSG in the France - Cup on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lens vs PSG?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lens 24%, draw 28%, PSG 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSG) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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