Lens 0-2 PSG — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 14 Jan 2024

Lens
0-2 HT 0-1
PSG
📅14/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Lens vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
45%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.24
2-3 Goals
35%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
3.03
6+ Goals
12%
9.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
5.19
1/2
9%
22.15
1/X
5%
13.75
X/1
7%
7.55
X/2
20%
4.49
X/X
14%
5.41
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
15%
2.53
2/X
5%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-3.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lens v PSG — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lens EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG EU Bookmakers 52%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.07/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.45
+1% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -27%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 83%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
23.7 Crosses 12.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Lens vs PSG Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lens
1W-2D-3L
AWAY PSG
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.28 xG 1.63
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
326 Passes 618
84% Pass Accuracy 91%
20 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.08.2023 PSG PSG 3-1 HT 1-0 Lens Lens FR1
15.04.2023 PSG PSG 3-1 HT 3-0 Lens Lens FR1
01.01.2023 Lens Lens 3-1 HT 2-1 PSG PSG FR1
23.04.2022 PSG PSG 1-1 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR1
04.12.2021 Lens Lens 1-1 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
01.05.2021 PSG PSG 2-1 HT 1-0 Lens Lens FR1

Lens 0-2 PSG — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lens
0-2
AWAY PSG
2.18 xG 1.83
34% Ball Possession 66%
17 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
279 Passes 630
82% Pass Accuracy 91%
31 Box Touches 37
19 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lens vs PSG
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG got the better of Lens 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lens had 34% of the ball to PSG's 66%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 2.18 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lens and 1.83 for PSG.

What was the final score of Lens vs PSG?

Lens 0-2 PSG in the France - Ligue 1 on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lens vs PSG?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lens 32%, draw 23%, PSG 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
14 Jan 2024
15:00 Lille vs Lorient Analysis →
17:00 Brest vs Montpellier Analysis →
17:00 Nantes vs Clermont Analysis →
17:00 Metz vs Toulouse Analysis →
19:05 Le Havre vs Lyon Analysis →