Nantes 1-2 Clermont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 14 Jan 2024

Nantes
1-2 HT 0-1
Clermont
📅14/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Nantes vs Clermont Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
15.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.57
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.0
1/X
10%
13.9
X/1
9%
4.22
X/2
10%
7.64
X/X
8%
4.63
2/1
7%
24.7
2/2
16%
5.87
2/X
7%
14.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nantes v Clermont — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantes EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Clermont EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.54/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.46
-8% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
22.6 Crosses 16.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Nantes vs Clermont Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantes
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Clermont
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.16 xG 0.95
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
338 Passes 393
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Clermont Clermont 0-1 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
29.01.2023 Clermont Clermont 0-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
30.10.2022 Nantes Nantes 1-1 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
03.04.2022 Clermont Clermont 2-3 HT 0-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
23.10.2021 Nantes Nantes 2-1 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
31.07.2021 Nantes Nantes 1-2 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont HAZ

Nantes 1-2 Clermont — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantes
1-2
AWAY Clermont
1.95 xG 1.05
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 5
348 Passes 319
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
42 Box Touches 15
35 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nantes vs Clermont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Clermont nicked a narrow win over Nantes 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nantes at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nantes had 52% of the ball to Clermont's 48%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 1.95 to 1.05 — the balance of chances actually favoured Nantes.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nantes had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nantes and 1.00 for Clermont.

What was the final score of Nantes vs Clermont?

Nantes 1-2 Clermont in the France - Ligue 1 on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantes vs Clermont?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nantes win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nantes 43%, draw 25%, Clermont 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nantes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nantes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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