Lille 3-0 Lorient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.3
Draw
28%
4.62
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
11%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 27% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.53
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
23.85
X/1
20%
3.26
X/2
5%
19.65
X/X
12%
6.79
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
7%
17.05
2/X
9%
24.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
72%
-15.6pp
28%
Draw
18%
+9.8pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+5.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lille EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorient EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.92/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.95
-19% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -13%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
516 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
19.5 Crosses 9.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lille
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Lorient
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.54 xG 0.93
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
499 Passes 331
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Lorient Lorient 4-1 HT 2-0 Lille Lille FR1
02.04.2023 Lille Lille 3-1 HT 1-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
02.10.2022 Lorient Lorient 2-1 HT 1-0 Lille Lille FR1
19.01.2022 Lille Lille 3-1 HT 3-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
10.09.2021 Lorient Lorient 2-1 HT 1-1 Lille Lille FR1
21.02.2021 Lorient Lorient 1-4 HT 1-2 Lille Lille FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lille
3-0
AWAY Lorient
2.29 xG 0.12
62% Ball Possession 38%
24 Total Shots 1
10 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
562 Passes 298
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
34 Box Touches 6
24 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lille vs Lorient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lille cruised past Lorient 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lille as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Lille had 62% of the ball to Lorient's 38%, shots finished 24-1, expected goals 2.29 to 0.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Lille and 1.83 for Lorient.

What was the final score of Lille vs Lorient?

Lille 3-0 Lorient in the France - Ligue 1 on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lille vs Lorient?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Lille 56%, draw 28%, Lorient 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lille) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
14 Jan 2024
17:00 Brest vs Montpellier Analysis →
17:00 Nantes vs Clermont Analysis →
17:00 Metz vs Toulouse Analysis →
19:05 Le Havre vs Lyon Analysis →
22:45 Lens vs PSG Analysis →