Brest 2-0 Montpellier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 14 Jan 2024

Brest
2-0 HT 0-0
Montpellier
📅14/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Brest vs Montpellier Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.91
6+ Goals
13%
17.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.37
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
15%
3.97
X/2
12%
8.47
X/X
13%
4.61
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
9%
6.8
2/X
7%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+5.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brest v Montpellier — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +16%
1.50/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.45
+14% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
21.5 Crosses 16.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Brest vs Montpellier Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brest
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Montpellier
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.99 xG 1.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
323 Passes 330
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 1-3 HT 0-1 Brest Brest FR1
12.02.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 3-0 HT 2-0 Brest Brest FR1
28.08.2022 Brest Brest 0-7 HT 0-5 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
03.04.2022 Montpellier Montpellier 1-2 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FR1
11.12.2021 Brest Brest 0-4 HT 0-1 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
16.05.2021 Montpellier Montpellier 0-0 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FR1

Brest 2-0 Montpellier — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brest
2-0
AWAY Montpellier
3.35 xG 0.39
65% Ball Possession 35%
26 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
492 Passes 228
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 7
37 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brest vs Montpellier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brest beat Montpellier 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brest as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Brest had 65% of the ball to Montpellier's 35%, shots finished 26-9, expected goals 3.35 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montpellier led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Brest and 2.67 for Montpellier.

What was the final score of Brest vs Montpellier?

Brest 2-0 Montpellier in the France - Ligue 1 on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brest vs Montpellier?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Brest 46%, draw 26%, Montpellier 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brest) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brest) ✗ BTTS Yes
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