16/08/2026
·
17:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Ajax vs Heerenveen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
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· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Ajax v Heerenveen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
Ajax vs Heerenveen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Ajax
3W-2D-1L
AWAY
Heerenveen
1.67
Avg Goals (FT)
0.83
1.74
xG
1.19
53%
Ball Possession
47%
15
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
6
434
Passes
379
86%
Pass Accuracy
82%
30
Box Touches
25
19
Crosses
16
1
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
05.11.2023
Ajax
4-1
HT 2-1
Heerenveen
HOL
4-1
HT 2-1
Heerenveen
HOL
COMMENT
Ajax vs Heerenveen
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ajax and 0.83 for Heerenveen.
When do Ajax and Heerenveen play?
Ajax play Heerenveen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 16/08/2026, kick-off 17:45 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Who is predicted to win Ajax vs Heerenveen?
Our model's prediction for Ajax vs Heerenveen is a Ajax win at about 67% probability, priced 1.45 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Ajax 67%, draw 19%, Heerenveen 15%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.
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HOL
More Netherlands - Eredivisie
16 Aug 2026