Cavalry 2-1 Forge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 16 Aug 2026

Cavalry
2 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Forge
📅16/08/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.32
Draw
31%
3.02
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.71
Over
46%
2.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.87
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.65
2-3
46%
1.72
4-5
21%
4.01
6+
4%
19.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Cavalry The Market 43%
Signal
AWAY Forge The Market 34%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.56 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.26
1.38 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.22
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Great
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Forge
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.34 xG 1.24
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
332 Passes 297
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.05.2026 Forge Forge 1-0 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
18.04.2026 Forge Forge 0-0 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
03.11.2025 Forge Forge 0-1 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
11.10.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 1-1 Forge Forge KAPL
30.08.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 4-1 HT 1-0 Forge Forge KAPL
01.06.2025 Forge Forge 1-1 HT 1-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
2 - 1
AWAY Forge
3.27 xG 0.54
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
402 Passes 138
90% Pass Accuracy 71%
39 Box Touches 9
45 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Cavalry vs Forge
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cavalry found just enough to beat Forge 2-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Cavalry found the edge the numbers couldn't.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring.

Under the surface, Cavalry had 70% of the ball to Forge's 30%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 3.27 to 0.54 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cavalry's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cavalry and 0.67 for Forge.

Cavalry vs Forge Result & Final Score

Cavalry 2 - 1 Forge in the Kanada - Premier League on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cavalry vs Forge Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 38%, draw 31%, Forge 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavalry), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cavalry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAPL More Kanada - Premier League
16 Aug 2026
19:00 Supra du Québec vs Atletico Ottawa Analysis →
23:00 York United vs HFX Wanderers Analysis →