Cavalry 1-1 Forge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.18
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.38
6+ Goals
8%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 28% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Forge EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.38/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.23
-29% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
19.0 Crosses 14.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Forge
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.67 xG 1.16
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
308 Passes 345
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 4-1 HT 1-0 Forge Forge KAPL
01.06.2025 Forge Forge 1-1 HT 1-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
06.04.2025 Forge Forge 1-0 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
09.11.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HT 2-0 Forge Forge KAPL
27.10.2024 Forge Forge 0-1 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
08.09.2024 Forge Forge 2-1 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
1-1
AWAY Forge
1.06 xG 1.22
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
351 Passes 288
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs Forge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry and Forge couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cavalry at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cavalry had 54% of the ball to Forge's 46%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.06 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cavalry and 1.00 for Forge.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs Forge?

Cavalry 1-1 Forge in the Kanada - Premier League on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs Forge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 41%, draw 24%, Forge 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cavalry) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cavalry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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