Cavalry 2-1 Forge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.07
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.81
6+ Goals
8%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 29% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Forge EU Bookmakers 28%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.91/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.67
+15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +136%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
19.8 Crosses 10.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Forge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.33 xG 0.84
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
386 Passes 351
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Forge Forge 0-1 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
08.09.2024 Forge Forge 2-1 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
22.07.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 0-0 Forge Forge KAPL
09.06.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-0 HT 0-0 Forge Forge CAPL
13.04.2024 Forge Forge 2-1 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
29.10.2023 Forge Forge 2-1 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
2-1
AWAY Forge
1.95 xG 0.97
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 9
235 Passes 354
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
34 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs Forge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry nicked a narrow win over Forge 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cavalry as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cavalry had 41% of the ball to Forge's 59%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.95 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cavalry and 1.17 for Forge.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs Forge?

Cavalry 2-1 Forge in the Kanada - Premier League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs Forge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 46%, draw 26%, Forge 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavalry) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cavalry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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