Forge 0-1 Cavalry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

Forge
0-1 HT 0-1
Cavalry
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

Forge vs Cavalry Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.09
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.79
6+ Goals
9%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 28% vs market 26.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forge v Cavalry — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forge EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavalry EU Bookmakers 38%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.08/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.19
+40% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
12.4 Crosses 14.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Forge vs Cavalry Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forge
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cavalry
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 1.23
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
316 Passes 408
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.09.2024 Forge Forge 2-1 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
22.07.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 0-0 Forge Forge KAPL
09.06.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-0 HT 0-0 Forge Forge CAPL
13.04.2024 Forge Forge 2-1 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
29.10.2023 Forge Forge 2-1 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
15.10.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 1-2 HT 0-1 Forge Forge CAPL

Forge 0-1 Cavalry — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forge
0-1
AWAY Cavalry
1.17 xG 1.62
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
401 Passes 219
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 18
34 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Forge vs Cavalry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry squeezed past Forge 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Cavalry found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Forge had 62% of the ball to Cavalry's 38%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.17 to 1.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Forge and 1.00 for Cavalry.

What was the final score of Forge vs Cavalry?

Forge 0-1 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forge vs Cavalry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Forge 38%, draw 25%, Cavalry 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Forge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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