Forge 1-1 Cavalry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.75
Over 2.5
39%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.74
6+ Goals
8%
16.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 34% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.4pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.2pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.4pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forge EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavalry EU Bookmakers 37%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +24%
0.92/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.03
-25% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
18.5 Crosses 14.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forge
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cavalry
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 1.70
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
336 Passes 347
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Forge Forge 1-0 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
09.11.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HT 2-0 Forge Forge KAPL
27.10.2024 Forge Forge 0-1 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
08.09.2024 Forge Forge 2-1 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
22.07.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 0-0 Forge Forge KAPL
09.06.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-0 HT 0-0 Forge Forge CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forge
1-1
AWAY Cavalry
2.02 xG 0.46
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
326 Passes 306
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Forge vs Cavalry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge and Cavalry couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Forge had 52% of the ball to Cavalry's 48%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.02 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Forge and 1.00 for Cavalry.

What was the final score of Forge vs Cavalry?

Forge 1-1 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forge vs Cavalry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Forge 33%, draw 33%, Cavalry 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cavalry), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cavalry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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