York United 2-0 HFX Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 33% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 40%
-18% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.96/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.89
-15% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
21.6 Crosses 16.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.96 xG 1.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
390 Passes 407
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
13.04.2025 York United York United 1-2 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
19.10.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-1 HT 0-1 York United York United KAPL
02.09.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-0 York United York United KAPL
06.07.2024 York United York United 2-1 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
25.05.2024 York United York United 2-1 HT 2-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
04.09.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-1 York United York United CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York United
2-0
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.62 xG 0.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
292 Passes 403
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 7
8 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH York United vs HFX Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York United got the better of HFX Wanderers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day York United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, York United had 44% of the ball to HFX Wanderers's 56%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.62 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for York United and 1.50 for HFX Wanderers.

What was the final score of York United vs HFX Wanderers?

York United 2-0 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York United vs HFX Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a York United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split York United 37%, draw 28%, HFX Wanderers 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (York United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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