Cavalry 4-1 Forge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
14.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Forge EU Bookmakers 43%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +22%
1.17/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.12
+3% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +56%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 82%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
17.4 Crosses 15.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Forge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.59 xG 1.26
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
334 Passes 328
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2025 Forge Forge 1-1 HT 1-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
06.04.2025 Forge Forge 1-0 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
09.11.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HT 2-0 Forge Forge KAPL
27.10.2024 Forge Forge 0-1 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
08.09.2024 Forge Forge 2-1 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
22.07.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 0-0 Forge Forge KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
4-1
AWAY Forge
2.42 xG 0.61
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
290 Passes 366
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs Forge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry ran out comfortable winners over Forge 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Forge at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Cavalry had 46% of the ball to Forge's 54%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 2.42 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cavalry and 1.00 for Forge.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs Forge?

Cavalry 4-1 Forge in the Kanada - Premier League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs Forge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 32%, draw 25%, Forge 42%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Forge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forge) ✓ BTTS Yes
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