Forge vs Cavalry Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Forge v Cavalry — Team-Based Signals
Forge vs Cavalry Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Forge 0-1 Cavalry — Actual Match Statistics
Cavalry nicked a narrow win over Forge 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Forge at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Forge had 58% of the ball to Cavalry's 42%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.82 to 2.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cavalry's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Forge and 1.50 for Cavalry.
What was the final score of Forge vs Cavalry?
Forge 0-1 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Forge vs Cavalry?
Before kick-off our model rated a Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Forge 45%, draw 28%, Cavalry 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Forge) went the other way.