Colorado Springs 3-2 Birmingham Legion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 16 Aug 2026

📅16/08/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.49
Draw
17%
4.19
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.23
Over
59%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.72
No
47%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.35
2-3
40%
1.86
4-5
24%
2.76
6+
13%
7.69
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.35 — our 23% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham Legion The Market 20%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.80 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.08
1.03 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.69
Average Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Average Defensevs comparable teams Strong
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
19.9 Crosses 11.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Birmingham Legion
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.33 xG 1.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
320 Passes 349
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.07.2025 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-1 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
14.07.2024 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 2-1 HT 1-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
05.08.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-1 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
27.03.2022 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-2 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
3-2
AWAY Birmingham Legion
3.26 xG 0.25
46 Total Shots 7
13 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 0
416 Passes 194
77 Box Touches 10
38 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Colorado Springs vs Birmingham Legion
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Colorado Springs squeezed past Birmingham Legion 3-2. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Colorado Springs as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, shots finished 46-7, expected goals 3.26 to 0.25 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Colorado Springs's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Colorado Springs and 0.75 for Birmingham Legion.

Colorado Springs vs Birmingham Legion Result & Final Score

Colorado Springs 3-2 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Colorado Springs vs Birmingham Legion Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 64%, draw 17%, Birmingham Legion 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Springs), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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