Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-0 Rhode Island — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 16 Aug 2026

📅16/08/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.91
Over
54%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.69
No
44%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.36
2-3
43%
1.76
4-5
21%
3.24
6+
11%
11.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rhode Island The Market 29%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.42 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.12
1.29 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.21
Great Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Bad Defensevs comparable teams Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
18.3 Crosses 15.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Rhode Island
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
1.03 xG 1.64
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
319 Passes 328
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2026 Rhode Island Rhode Island 1-1 HT 0-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
12.10.2025 Rhode Island Rhode Island 5-0 HT 3-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
18.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 0-3 HT 0-1 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
06.10.2024 Rhode Island Rhode Island 3-1 HT 1-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
31.03.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 4-1 HT 0-1 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
2-0
AWAY Rhode Island
2.14 xG 0.23
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
224 Passes 310
27 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Tampa Bay Rowdies saw off Rhode Island 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tampa Bay Rowdies as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.14 to 0.23.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rhode Island led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.20 a game for Tampa Bay Rowdies against 2.60 for Rhode Island.

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island Result & Final Score

Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-0 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 49%, draw 24%, Rhode Island 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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