Hartford Athletic 2-1 Miami FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 16 Aug 2026

📅16/08/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
1.91
Over Pick
57%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.74
No
44%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.56
2-3
36%
1.77
4-5
25%
3.11
6+
14%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
14%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartford Athletic The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Miami FC The Market 27%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.70 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.31
1.08 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.43
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
25.2 Crosses 15.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartford Athletic
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Miami FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.91 xG 0.69
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 Passes 376
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2026 Miami FC Miami FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
07.09.2025 Miami FC Miami FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
07.08.2025 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 2-0 HT 0-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
15.09.2024 Miami FC Miami FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
06.04.2024 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 3-2 HT 1-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
01.10.2023 Miami FC Miami FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartford Athletic
2-1
AWAY Miami FC
2.60 xG 1.10
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
218 Passes 351
26 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Hartford Athletic edged past Miami FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hartford Athletic as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

The match data tells the story: shots finished 16-15, expected goals 2.60 to 1.10 — on chances created, Hartford Athletic won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartford Athletic had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Hartford Athletic against 0.67 for Miami FC.

Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC Result & Final Score

Hartford Athletic 2-1 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 53%, draw 23%, Miami FC 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartford Athletic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hartford Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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