Miami FC 0-1 Hartford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.17/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.16
-8% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
319 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 83%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
14.7 Crosses 20.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miami FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Hartford Athletic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.02 xG 1.74
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
365 Passes 382
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.08.2025 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 2-0 HT 0-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
15.09.2024 Miami FC Miami FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
06.04.2024 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 3-2 HT 1-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
01.10.2023 Miami FC Miami FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
20.08.2023 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 0-3 HT 0-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
21.08.2022 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miami FC
0-1
AWAY Hartford Athletic
0.62 xG 0.98
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
365 Passes 169
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Miami FC vs Hartford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartford Athletic nicked a narrow win over Miami FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hartford Athletic as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Miami FC had 64% of the ball to Hartford Athletic's 36%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.62 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Miami FC and 1.33 for Hartford Athletic.

What was the final score of Miami FC vs Hartford Athletic?

Miami FC 0-1 Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami FC vs Hartford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hartford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 28%, draw 25%, Hartford Athletic 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartford Athletic) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartford Athletic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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