FC Tulsa vs Birmingham Legion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Tulsa v Birmingham Legion — Team-Based Signals
FC Tulsa vs Birmingham Legion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-3
Birmingham Legion
USLP
3-2
HT 1-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
0-2
HT 0-1
FC Tulsa
USLP
3-1
HT 2-1
Birmingham Legion
USLP
FC Tulsa 1-1 Birmingham Legion — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tulsa and Birmingham Legion couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was FC Tulsa at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (66%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.
On the day, FC Tulsa had 46% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 54%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 2.04 to 0.44.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Tulsa and 1.83 for Birmingham Legion.
What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs Birmingham Legion?
FC Tulsa 1-1 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Tulsa vs Birmingham Legion?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 49%, draw 22%, Birmingham Legion 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Tulsa), Over 2.5 went the other way.