Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sacramento Republic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Sacramento Republic — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sacramento Republic Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Sacramento Republic
USLP
Tampa Bay Rowdies 0-2 Sacramento Republic — Actual Match Statistics
Sacramento Republic saw off Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Sacramento Republic found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 56% of the ball to Sacramento Republic's 44%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.35 to 1.08.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 0.50 for Sacramento Republic.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sacramento Republic?
Tampa Bay Rowdies 0-2 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sacramento Republic?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 34%, draw 27%, Sacramento Republic 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sacramento Republic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.