Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sacramento Republic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Sacramento Republic — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sacramento Republic Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Tampa Bay Rowdies 0-2 Sacramento Republic — Actual Match Statistics
Sacramento Republic had too much for Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
The model refused to pick a side here (31% / 30% / 39%); Sacramento Republic picked one for it. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 56% of the ball to Sacramento Republic's 44%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.35 to 1.08.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 0.50 for Sacramento Republic.
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sacramento Republic Result & Final Score
Tampa Bay Rowdies 0 - 2 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sacramento Republic Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 31%, draw 30%, Sacramento Republic 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sacramento Republic), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.