San Antonio vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Antonio v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
San Antonio vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-3
San Antonio
USLP
2-1
HT 2-0
New Mexico United
USLP
San Antonio 0-1 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United edged past San Antonio 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was San Antonio at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, San Antonio had 44% of the ball to New Mexico United's 56%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 0.46 to 0.88.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New Mexico United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for San Antonio and 2.00 for New Mexico United.
What was the final score of San Antonio vs New Mexico United?
San Antonio 0-1 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Antonio vs New Mexico United?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 49%, draw 27%, New Mexico United 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.