San Antonio vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
San Antonio v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
San Antonio vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
San Antonio 0-1 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United found just enough to beat San Antonio 1-0 on the road. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We leaned San Antonio at 46% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The one blemish: both teams to score (56%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: San Antonio had 44% of the ball to New Mexico United's 56%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 0.46 to 0.88.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New Mexico United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for San Antonio and 2.00 for New Mexico United.
San Antonio vs New Mexico United Result & Final Score
San Antonio 0 - 1 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
San Antonio vs New Mexico United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 46%, draw 28%, New Mexico United 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.