San Antonio 2-2 New Mexico United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USLKP, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.71
Over 2.5
37%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.4pp
35%
Draw
30%
+5.0pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
55%
+8.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
45%
-8.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.1pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Antonio EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY New Mexico United EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +141% / -46%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Antonio
2W-1D-3L
AWAY New Mexico United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.25 xG 1.21
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
200 Passes 237
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
22.06.2025 New Mexico United New Mexico United 4-2 HT 1-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
30.06.2024 San Antonio San Antonio 2-3 HT 2-2 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLP
26.05.2024 New Mexico United New Mexico United 2-1 HT 2-1 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
13.08.2023 New Mexico United New Mexico United 0-3 HT 0-3 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
28.05.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 2-1 HT 2-0 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLP
18.09.2022 San Antonio San Antonio 1-1 HT 0-0 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLP
POST-MATCH San Antonio vs New Mexico United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Antonio and New Mexico United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 35% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New Mexico United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for San Antonio and 1.83 for New Mexico United.

What was the final score of San Antonio vs New Mexico United?

San Antonio 2-2 New Mexico United in the USLKP on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Antonio vs New Mexico United?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 30%, draw 35%, New Mexico United 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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