Rhode Island vs Louisville City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rhode Island v Louisville City — Team-Based Signals
Rhode Island vs Louisville City Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Rhode Island 0-1 Louisville City — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City squeezed past Rhode Island 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Rhode Island had 58% of the ball to Louisville City's 42%, shots finished 8-4, expected goals 0.37 to 0.11.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rhode Island had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Rhode Island and 1.00 for Louisville City.
What was the final score of Rhode Island vs Louisville City?
Rhode Island 0-1 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs Louisville City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 33%, draw 25%, Louisville City 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.