Genesis PN 1-1 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 16 Sep 2025

Genesis PN
1-1 HT 1-1
Real Espana
📅16/09/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2025/2026

Genesis PN vs Real Espana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
51%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+5.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.3pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Genesis PN v Real Espana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 58%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
0.61/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.06
-37% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -15%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
210 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Genesis PN vs Real Espana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Real Espana
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
The Meetings
19.01.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
08.12.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 2-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
05.12.2024 Genesis PN 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
27.10.2024 Genesis PN 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
18.08.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
24.04.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 2-1 HT 2-0 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genesis PN and Real Espana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Espana at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Espana led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Genesis PN and 1.33 for Real Espana.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs Real Espana?

Genesis PN 1-1 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 16/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 25%, draw 24%, Real Espana 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Espana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Espana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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