Braintree Town 1-0 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.91
Over 2.5
39%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
3.52
6+ Goals
8%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 32% vs market 23.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.78
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
19%
4.59
X/2
9%
7.23
X/X
12%
4.81
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
12%
5.27
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.2pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 31%
-15% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
0.52/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.67
-66% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braintree Town
1W-0D-1L
AWAY AFC Fylde
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
13.04.2019 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-1 HT 1-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
29.09.2018 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 3-0 HT 1-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Braintree Town
1-0
AWAY AFC Fylde
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Passes 0
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Braintree Town vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braintree Town edged past AFC Fylde 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Braintree Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Braintree Town had 42% of the ball to AFC Fylde's 58%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Braintree Town and 2.00 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of Braintree Town vs AFC Fylde?

Braintree Town 1-0 AFC Fylde in the England - National League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braintree Town vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Braintree Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Braintree Town 44%, draw 28%, AFC Fylde 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Braintree Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Braintree Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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