Morecambe vs Port Vale Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Morecambe v Port Vale — Team-Based Signals
Morecambe vs Port Vale Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Port Vale
İN1
1-0
HT 1-0
Morecambe
İN1
1-0
HT 1-0
Morecambe
İN2
1-0
HT 0-0
Port Vale
İN2
2-1
HT 2-0
Port Vale
İN2
3-1
HT 0-1
Morecambe
İN2
Morecambe 0-1 Port Vale — Actual Match Statistics
Port Vale nicked a narrow win over Morecambe 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Port Vale as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Morecambe had 38% of the ball to Port Vale's 62%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.08 to 1.94.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Morecambe and 1.00 for Port Vale.
What was the final score of Morecambe vs Port Vale?
Morecambe 0-1 Port Vale in the England - 2nd Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Morecambe vs Port Vale?
Before kick-off our model rated an Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Morecambe 26%, draw 26%, Port Vale 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Port Vale), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.