Darlington 1883 1-0 Buxton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.8pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Buxton EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Buxton
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2024 Buxton Buxton 2-0 HT 2-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
24.02.2024 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 2-1 HT 0-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
02.09.2023 Buxton Buxton 5-0 HT 3-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
21.02.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-1 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
25.10.2022 Buxton Buxton 2-1 HT 1-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlington 1883
1-0
AWAY Buxton
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Buxton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 squeezed past Buxton 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Darlington 1883 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Darlington 1883 had 42% of the ball to Buxton's 58%, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Buxton led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Darlington 1883 and 2.20 for Buxton.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Buxton?

Darlington 1883 1-0 Buxton in the England - FA Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Buxton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darlington 1883 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 42%, draw 25%, Buxton 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darlington 1883), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Darlington 1883) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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