Buxton 2-0 Darlington 1883 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 28% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-7.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buxton EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.30/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.31
-8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
327 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buxton
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Darlington 1883
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.02.2024 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 2-1 HT 0-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
02.09.2023 Buxton Buxton 5-0 HT 3-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
21.02.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-1 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
25.10.2022 Buxton Buxton 2-1 HT 1-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buxton
2-0
AWAY Darlington 1883
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Buxton vs Darlington 1883
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buxton saw off Darlington 1883 2-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Buxton found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Buxton had 61% of the ball to Darlington 1883's 39%, shots finished 15-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Buxton had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Buxton and 1.00 for Darlington 1883.

What was the final score of Buxton vs Darlington 1883?

Buxton 2-0 Darlington 1883 in the England - Conference on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buxton vs Darlington 1883?

Before kick-off our model rated an Darlington 1883 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Buxton 34%, draw 27%, Darlington 1883 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Darlington 1883) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Darlington 1883) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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