Weston-super-Mare 2-3 Weymouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.0pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Weymouth EU Bookmakers 25%
-76% / -76% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/5.00
-54% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -64%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
365 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Weymouth
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
4 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-1 HT 0-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
01.01.2024 Weymouth Weymouth 3-3 HT 1-2 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
26.12.2023 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 2-3 HT 2-2 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Weston-super-Mare
2-3
AWAY Weymouth
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Weymouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weymouth squeezed past Weston-super-Mare 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Weston-super-Mare at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Weston-super-Mare had 65% of the ball to Weymouth's 35%, shots finished 19-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Weymouth led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Weston-super-Mare and 2.33 for Weymouth.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Weymouth?

Weston-super-Mare 2-3 Weymouth in the England - FA Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Weymouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 49%, draw 24%, Weymouth 27%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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