SSC Giugliano 1-2 Rossoblu Potenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.82
6+ Goals
11%
16.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.82 — our 24% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.24/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.17
+2% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Giugliano
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2024 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 1-0 HT 1-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
21.10.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
16.04.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 3-2 HT 2-2 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
11.12.2022 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 1-1 HT 1-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Giugliano
1-2
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH SSC Giugliano vs Rossoblu Potenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rossoblu Potenza squeezed past SSC Giugliano 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was SSC Giugliano at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, SSC Giugliano had 43% of the ball to Rossoblu Potenza's 57%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SSC Giugliano and 1.00 for Rossoblu Potenza.

What was the final score of SSC Giugliano vs Rossoblu Potenza?

SSC Giugliano 1-2 Rossoblu Potenza in the Italy - Serie C on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Giugliano vs Rossoblu Potenza?

Before kick-off our model rated a SSC Giugliano win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split SSC Giugliano 43%, draw 28%, Rossoblu Potenza 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SSC Giugliano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SSC Giugliano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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