16/11/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
3-1
Broughton vs Goytre Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
85%
16%
Draw
8%
16%
Away Win
6%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Broughton v Goytre — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Broughton
EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY
Goytre
EU Bookmakers 9%
+9% /
+9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+31%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
64%
Ball Possession
36%
20
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
3
486 · 88%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
238 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Broughton vs Goytre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Broughton swept aside Goytre 7-1. Half-time: 3-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Broughton as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Broughton vs Goytre?
Broughton 7-1 Goytre in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Broughton vs Goytre?
Before kick-off our model rated a Broughton win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Broughton 68%, draw 16%, Goytre 16%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Broughton), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Broughton)
✓ Over 2.5
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GALWK
More Wales - Welsh Cup
16 Nov 2024