Lecco 1-0 Pro Patria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.55
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecco EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 23%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -5%
1.82/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.18
+15% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecco
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Pro Patria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
22.02.2025 Lecco Lecco 2-1 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
12.10.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 2-1 HT 0-1 Lecco Lecco İTC
08.04.2023 Lecco Lecco 2-1 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
04.12.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 2-0 HT 0-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
01.05.2022 Lecco Lecco 0-2 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
05.02.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 0-1 Lecco Lecco İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecco
1-0
AWAY Pro Patria
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lecco vs Pro Patria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecco edged past Pro Patria 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lecco as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lecco had 52% of the ball to Pro Patria's 48%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pro Patria led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lecco and 1.50 for Pro Patria.

What was the final score of Lecco vs Pro Patria?

Lecco 1-0 Pro Patria in the Italy - Serie C on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecco vs Pro Patria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lecco win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lecco 50%, draw 25%, Pro Patria 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lecco), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lecco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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